Us Presidential Election 2024 Fivethirtyeight. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. A widening gap between trump and harris indicates.

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.